'Volksgezondheid toekomst verkenning' 1997. VII. Zorgbehoefte en zorggebruik

In the ‘Public health status and forecasts’ 1997 attention is given to the relationship between health status and health care. The theme report ‘Health care need and health care consumption’ integrates information about both phenomena and about waiting lists in the different sectors of health care. It is difficult to quantify the need for health care, because statements about need always imply a judgment by parties involved. In the literature need for health care is often operationalized by historical data on health care consumption or by health status indicators. At the national level only limited quantitative information is available to support policy on waiting lists and waiting times. The data are seldom disease-specific. Changes in size and distribution (by age and sex) of the population will increase health care costs over the period 1994-2015 in the Netherlands by 0.9-1.0 per year. More detailed demographic projections, however, indicate that there are large disease-specific differences.